Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat

Congo
1 - 1
South Africa

Bassouamina (45+3')
Makouta (54'), Ossete (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mokwana (33')
Mobbie (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 5-0 Congo
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 5-0 Congo
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Congo	Draw	South Africa
23.48% ( -0.52)	25.97% ( -0.33)	50.55% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 47.46% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

0.77)

55.67% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

0.63)

76.82% (

-0.63)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.91% (

-0.05)

39.09% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.19% (

-0.05)

75.81% (

0.05)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

0.69)

22.08% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

1.04)

55.43% (

-1.05)

Score Analysis

Congo 23.48%

South Africa 50.55%

Draw 25.96%

Congo	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.48%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.55%