Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 15, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
  • Mons Bassouamina 45'+3' goal
  • Gaius Makouta 54' yellowcard
  • Harvy Ossete 57' yellowcard
  • goal Elias Mokwana 33'
  • yellowcard Nyiko Mobbie 80'

Congo vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 6.00pm
South Africa 5 - 0 Congo

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 6.00pm
South Africa 5 - 0 Congo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Congo 23.48% (-0.52)
Draw 25.97% (-0.33)
South Africa 50.55% (+0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.46% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.33% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 55.67% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 23.18% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 76.82% (-0.63)
Over 4.5 10.22% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 89.78% (-0.39)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5 60.91% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.09% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 24.19% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 75.81% (+0.05)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 77.92% (+0.70)
Under 0.5 22.08% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 44.57% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 55.43% (-1.05)

Score analysis

Congo 23.48%
Draw 25.96%
South Africa 50.55%
Congo
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.96%
South Africa
0-1 @ 13.03% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 9.85% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.25% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 4.96% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 4.66% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.07)
0-4 @ 1.87% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.76% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.55%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Al Salam Stadium
  • Teboho Mokoena 11' yellowcard
  • Teboho Mokoena 12' goal
  • Teboho Mokoena 27' goal
  • Bathusi Jurry Aubaas 37' goal
  • Lyle Foster 52' goal
  • Elias Mokwana 69' yellowcard
  • Iqraam Rayners 79' goal
  • Sinoxolo Kwayiba 87' yellowcard