Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 9.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.