Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd
0 - 1
Chelsea


Malard (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bronze (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Man Utd
Saturday, April 19 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawChelsea Women
49.29% (0.542 0.54)22.76% (0.267 0.27)27.95% (-0.808 -0.81)
Both teams to score 62.04% (-1.621 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (-1.861 -1.86)38.45% (1.863 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (-2.001 -2)60.74% (2.003 2)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.495 -0.5)15.88% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.921 -0.92)45.1% (0.923 0.92)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-1.482 -1.48)26.25% (1.485 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-2.027 -2.03)61.35% (2.028 2.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 49.29%
    Chelsea Women 27.95%
    Draw 22.75%
Manchester United WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.539 0.54)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.383 0.38)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.359 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.258 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.95%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Chelsea

Manchester United Women
41.4%
Draw
10.3%
Chelsea Women
48.3%
29
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 3
Chelsea
1-0
Man Utd
Reiten (17' pen.)
Cuthbert (90+6')

Tullis-Joyce (16'), Deman (30'), Clinton (40'), Bloodworth (74')
> Preview
May 18, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Man Utd
0-6
Chelsea

Garcia (67')
Ramirez (2', 45+2'), Rytting-Kaneryd (8'), Nusken (44'), Leupolz (47'), Kirby (85')
> Match Report
Apr 14, 2024 2.35pm
Semi-Finals
Man Utd Women
2-1
Chelsea Women
Garcia (1'), Deman (23')
Turner (45+5'), Garcia (68'), Mannion (77'), Parris (78'), Earps (79')
James (45+4')
James (45+5')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chelsea Women
3-1
Man Utd Women
James (5', 23', 85')
Ladd (43')
Ladd (50'), Parris (76')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Final
Chelsea Women
1-0
Man Utd Women
Kerr (68')
> Match Report