Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.79%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.