Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Mar 26, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
4 - 1
Bayern Munich

(Lyon Women win 6-1 on aggregate)

Dumornay (46'), Diani (54'), Chawinga (60'), Hegerberg (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Buhl (33')
Simon (51'), Hansen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Bayern Munich Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

Last Game: Bayern Munich 0-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Bayern Munich Women

Last Game: Bayern Munich 0-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Bayern Munich Women win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon Women	Draw	Bayern Munich Women
64.92% ( -0.04)	18.82% ( 0.03)	16.25% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.82% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12% (

-0.15)

34.87% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.15% (

-0.17)

56.84% (

0.16)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.88% (

-0.05)

10.11% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.71% (

-0.12)

33.29% (

0.12)

Bayern Munich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

-0.1)

34.55% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

-0.1)

71.27% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Lyon Women 64.92%

Bayern Munich Women 16.25%

Draw 18.82%

Lyon Women	Draw	Bayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.92%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.82%	1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 16.25%