Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
0 - 1
Mushuc Runa

Demian Fascendini (74'), Demian Fascendini (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Joshue Caicedo Lopez (45+1', 45+1')
Mina (43'), Mina (43'), Tapiero (53'), Tapiero (53'), Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (63'), Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (63'), Arturo Arce Mina (72'), Arturo Arce Mina (72'), Penilla (90+2'), Penilla (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Union 1-2 Palestino
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Mushuc Runa

All competitions

Last Game: Mushuc Runa 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Union	Draw	Mushuc Runa
60.95% ( -0.05)	22.77% ( -0)	16.28% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.79% (

0.09)

52.21% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08% (

0.08)

73.92% (

-0.08)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.02)

16.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.37% (

0.02)

46.63% (

-0.02)

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.93% (

0.13)

45.07% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.01% (

0.1)

80.99% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Union 60.94%

Mushuc Runa 16.28%

Draw 22.77%

Union	Draw	Mushuc Runa
1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 60.94%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.28%