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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Dacia Arena
Monza

Udinese
1 - 2
Monza

Lucca (75')
Atta (50'), Lucca (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caprari (52'), Balde (90')
Akpa-Akpro (13'), Balde (90+1'), Pereira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Udinese
Saturday, May 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-4 Atalanta
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawMonza
46.98% (1.054 1.05)24.07% (0.203 0.2)28.94% (-1.256 -1.26)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-1.523 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-1.65 -1.65)43.9% (1.65 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-1.63 -1.63)66.29% (1.631 1.63)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)18.84% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (-0.374 -0.37)50.28% (0.374 0.37)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-1.675 -1.68)28.35% (1.676 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-2.16 -2.16)64.08% (2.162 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 46.99%
    Monza 28.94%
    Draw 24.06%
UdineseDrawMonza
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.106 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.567 0.57)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.424 0.42)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Udinese vs Monza

Udinese
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Monza
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monza
1-2
Udinese
Kiriakopoulos (47')
Caprari (61')
Lucca (6'), Bijol (70')
Karlstrom (70'), Bravo Solanilla (90+2')
Feb 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 23
Udinese
0-0
Monza
Pereyra (27'), Walace (60'), Ehizibue (65')
Pereira (84'), Izzo (90+3')
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Monza
1-1
Udinese
Colpani (27')
Mari (34'), Pessina (90+4')
Lucca (66')
Padelli (45+2'), Ferreira (86')
Apr 8, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Udinese
2-2
Monza
Lovric (18'), Beto (90+2' pen.)
Colpani (48'), Rovella (56')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Second Round
Udinese
2-3
Monza
Perez (49', 68')
Valoti (45'), Molina (70'), Petagna (72')
rhs 2.0


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