/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
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Tiago Palacios
51'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
12'
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Charles De Ketelaere
23'
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Ademola Lookman
47'
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Isak Hien
71'
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Juan Cuadrado
81'
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Marco Brescianini
88'
Monza vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F07%2Fmateo-retegui.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 12.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.18%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Monza
12.72%
▼
(-0.55)
Draw
19.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Atalanta BC
67.69%
▲
(+0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
46.65%
▼
(-1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.79%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 2.5
46.21%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 3.5
31.5%
▼
(-1.51)
Under 3.5
68.5%
▲
(+1.51)
Over 4.5
15.72%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 4.5
84.28%
▲
(+1.09)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
53.41%
▼
(-1.86)
Under 0.5
46.59%
▲
(+1.86)
Over 1.5
17.82%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 1.5
82.18%
▲
(+1.46)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
87.35%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
12.65%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
61.19%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
38.81%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Monza
12.72%
Draw
19.59%
Atalanta BC
67.68%
Monza
1-0
@
4.5%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 12.72%
2-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 12.72%
Draw
1-1
@
9.31%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.59%
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.59%
Atalanta BC
0-2
@
12.59%
▲
(+0.51)
0-1 @ 12.18% ▲ (+0.66)
1-2 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.20)
0-5 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 67.68%
0-1 @ 12.18% ▲ (+0.66)
1-2 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.20)
0-5 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 67.68%