Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 4
Atalanta

Palacios (51')

FT(HT: 0-2)

De Ketelaere (12', 23'), Lookman (47'), Brescianini (88')
Hien (71'), Cuadrado (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Monza
Sunday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 12.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.18%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
12.72% ( -0.55)	19.59% ( 0.07)	67.69% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.79% (

-1.57)

46.21% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

-1.5)

68.5% (

1.51)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.41% (

-1.85)

46.59% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.82% (

-1.45)

82.18% (

1.46)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.33)

12.65% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.19% (

-0.7)

38.81% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Monza 12.72%

Atalanta BC 67.68%

Draw 19.59%

Monza	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.1% Total : 12.72%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.59%	0-2 @ 12.59% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 8.68% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.95% Total : 67.68%