Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 1
Lecce

Retegui (69' pen.)
Zappacosta (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Karlsson (29' pen.)
Gallo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Como
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Lecce
67.56% ( 0.53)	19.92% ( -0.26)	12.52% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.45)

48.04% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.42)

70.21% (

-0.42)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75% (

0.3)

13.24% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.98% (

0.6)

40.02% (

-0.6)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.94% (

-0.16)

48.06% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72% (

-0.12)

83.27% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 67.54%

Lecce 12.52%

Draw 19.92%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 67.54%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.92%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.52%