Serie A Gameweek 34
Atalanta
Apr 27, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Lecce
  • Mateo Retegui 69' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 29'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 49'

Atalanta BC vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 7.45pm
AC Milan 0 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 2.00pm
Lecce 0 - 3 Como
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 67.56% ▲ (+0.54)
Draw 19.92% ▼ (-0.27)
Lecce 12.52% ▼ (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.96% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 48.04% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 29.79% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 70.21% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 4.5 14.53% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 85.47% ▼ (-0.29)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 86.75% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 0.5 13.24% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 1.5 59.98% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 40.02% ▼ (-0.60)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 51.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 48.06% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 16.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 83.27% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 67.54%
Draw 19.92%
Lecce 12.52%
Atalanta BC
2-0 @ 13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.86% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 67.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.92%
Lecce
0-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 12.52%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 1
Lecce
Aug 19, 2024 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • goal Marco Brescianini 35'
  • goal Mateo Retegui 45'
  • goal Mateo Retegui 57'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 60'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 66'
  • yellowcard Ederson 80'
Serie A Gameweek 37
Lecce
May 18, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 25'
  • yellowcard El Bilal Toure 37'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 44'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 48'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 53'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 67'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Atalanta
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Lecce
  • Davide Zappacosta 35' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 58' goal
  • Emil Holm 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 82'
  • yellowcard Remi Oudin 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Atalanta
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Lecce
  • Rasmus Hojlund 87' goal
  • goal Assan Ceesay 4'
  • goal Alexis Blin 74'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Lecce
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • Federico Baschirotto 27' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 29' goal
  • goal Duvan Zapata 40'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Lecce
Mar 1, 2020 2.00pm
2
7
HT : 2 2
FT Via del Mare
Atalanta
  • Riccardo Saponara 29' goal
  • Giulio Donati 40' goal
  • Fabio Lucioni 66' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Saponara 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giulio Donati 17' (OG)
  • goal Duvan Zapata 22'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 45'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 47'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 54'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Palomino 57'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 62'
  • goal Luis Muriel 87'
  • goal Ruslan Malinovskiy 90'

Form Data

AC Milan 0 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 0 Bologna
Atalanta 0 - 1 Lazio
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
Atalanta 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Juventus 0 - 4 Atalanta
Lecce 0 - 3 Como
Juventus 2 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Venezia
Lecce 0 - 1 Roma
Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 2 - 3 AC Milan