Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
| 62.49% ( | 22.08% ( | 15.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% ( | 50.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% ( | 72.85% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( | 15.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.09% ( | 44.91% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.51% ( | 45.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.68% ( | 81.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 5-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.97% Total : 62.48% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 2-2 @ 3.8% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 2-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.42% |