Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.