Segunda Division | Gameweek 42

May 31, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
2 - 2
Burgos

Rodriguez (82'), Lobete (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Espiau (9'), Nino (65')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 2-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Burgos

All competitions

Last Game: Burgos 2-3 Levante
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Burgos
42.16% ( 0.04)	30.36% ( -0.03)	27.48% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 39.4% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.54% (

0.09)

67.46% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.42% (

0.06)

85.58% (

-0.06)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

0.07)

31.83% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

0.08)

68.27% (

-0.08)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.81% (

0.05)

42.19% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.4% (

0.04)

78.6% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Malaga 42.16%

Burgos 27.48%

Draw 30.35%

Malaga	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.16%	0-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.26% 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.35%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.14% Total : 27.48%