Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 34.67%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.8%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (13.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Elche in this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Elche
34.43% ( 1.42)	30.89% ( 0.05)	34.67% ( -1.47)

Both teams to score 39.84% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.2% (

-0.09)

67.8% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.2% (

-0.06)

85.8% (

0.06)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04% (

0.97)

36.96% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25% (

0.95)

73.75% (

-0.95)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

-1.06)

36.79% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-1.08)

73.58% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Burgos 34.43%

Elche 34.67%

Draw 30.88%

Burgos	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 34.43%	0-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.88%	0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 34.67%