Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.