Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Elche in this match.