Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Huesca win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.