Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
2 - 1
Sporting Gijon

Ruiz Rubio (67', 83')
(63'), Francisco Puga Medina (63'), Pastor (84'), Pastor (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Otero (59')
(77'), Angel (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Eldense 1-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 2-1 Deportivo
Saturday, May 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawSporting Gijon
38.66% (-0.901 -0.9)28.09% (0.101 0.1)33.25% (0.79499999999999 0.79)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.21% (-0.235 -0.23)58.79% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.69% (-0.182 -0.18)79.31% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.642 -0.64)29.51% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.786 -0.79)65.53% (0.782 0.78)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.428 0.43)32.95% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.474 0.47)69.53% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 38.65%
    Sporting Gijon 33.24%
    Draw 28.09%
MalagaDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.65%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.72% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.24%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Sporting Gijon
1-3
Malaga
Campuzano (82')
Queipo (39'), Olaetxea (54'), Gelabert (85'), Campos (86')
Baturina (46'), Dioni (86', 90+4')
Lobete (50'), Francisco Puga Medina (63')
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sporting Gijon
0-0
Malaga
Nov 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Malaga
1-1
Sporting Gijon
Juande (86')
Cristo (32')
Jan 9, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 23
Malaga
2-2
Sporting Gijon
Brandon (30' pen.), Enriquez (87')
Medina (15'), Escassi (19'), Enriquez (67'), Martin (85'), Jozabed (90')
Durdevic (16' pen.), Kravets (41')
Berrocal (9'), Diaz (24'), Babin (61'), Mendez (73'), Kravets (81'), Luis Rodriguez (90+2')
Sep 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Sporting Gijon
2-1
Malaga
Durdevic (59'), Campos (80')
Durdevic (23'), Gragera (51'), Garcia Carrasco (61'), Campos (90+6')
Juande (26')
Munoz (22'), Brandon (23'), Juande (37'), Jozabed (44'), de la Fuente (61'), Gassama (90')
Escassi (7')