Segunda Division Gameweek 40
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 67' goal
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 83' goal
  • Alex Pastor 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Pastor 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ferney Otero 59'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Angel 90'+3'

Malaga vs Sporting Gijon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 11, 2025 5.30pm
Eldense 1 - 0 Malaga
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dioni

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 10, 2025 3.15pm
Sporting Gijon 2 - 1 Deportivo
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Ferney Otero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result

Malaga 38.66% (-0.91)
Draw 28.09% (+0.11)
Sporting Gijon 33.25% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.26% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.21% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 58.79% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 20.69% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 79.31% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 8.74% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 91.26% (+0.11)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 70.49% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 29.51% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 34.47% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 65.53% (+0.79)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5 67.05% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 32.95% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 30.47% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 69.53% (-0.48)

Score analysis

Malaga 38.65%
Draw 28.09%
Sporting Gijon 33.24%
Malaga
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 38.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.72% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.09%
Sporting Gijon
0-1 @ 10.79% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.31% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.99% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.24%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinon
  • Dani Queipo 39' yellowcard
  • Lander Olaetxea 54' yellowcard
  • Victor Campuzano 82' goal
  • Cesar Gelabert 85' yellowcard
  • Gaspar Campos 86' yellowcard
  • goal Roko Baturina 46'
  • yellowcard Julen Lobete 50'
  • yellowcard Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 63'
  • goal Dioni 86'
  • goal Dioni 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT El Molinón
Segunda Division Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Juande 86' goal
  • goal Cristo 32'
Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2022 5.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kevin Medina 15' yellowcard
  • Alberto Escassi 19' yellowcard
  • Brandon 30' goal
  • Ramon Enriquez 67' yellowcard
  • Dani Martin 85' yellowcard
  • Ramon Enriquez 87' goal
  • Jozabed 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Berrocal 9'
  • goal Uros Durdevic 16'
  • yellowcard Pedro Diaz 24'
  • goal Vasyl Kravets 41'
  • yellowcard Jean-Sylvain Babin 61'
  • yellowcard Nacho Mendez 73'
  • yellowcard Vasyl Kravets 81'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 90'+2'
Segunda Division Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Uros Durdevic 23' yellowcard
  • Jose Gragera 51' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 59' goal
  • Pablo Garcia Carrasco 61' yellowcard
  • Gaspar Campos 80' goal
  • Gaspar Campos 90'+6' yellowcard
  • redcard Alberto Escassi 7'
  • yellowcard Luis Munoz 22'
  • yellowcard Brandon 23'
  • goal Juande 26'
  • yellowcard Juande 37'
  • yellowcard Jozabed 44'
  • yellowcard Paulino de la Fuente 61'
  • yellowcard Sekou Gassama 90'
Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manu Garcia 40' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 49' goal
  • Jean-Sylvain Babin 64' yellowcard
  • Gaspar Campos 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Chavarria 58'