Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.