Segunda Division | Gameweek 39

May 10, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Deportivo

Serrano (17'), Mendez (45')
Olaetxea (45+1'), Gelabert (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barbero (61')
Hernandez (45+1')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Deportivo La Coruna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions

Last Game: Castellon 4-3 Sporting Gijon
Monday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Deportivo La Coruna

All competitions

Last Game: Deportivo 5-1 Albacete
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Deportivo La Coruna
48.5% ( 0.12)	25.53% ( 0.05)	25.97% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 51.11% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

-0.33)

52.09% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.28)

73.81% (

0.29)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.08)

21.49% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46% (

-0.13)

54.53% (

0.13)

Deportivo La Coruna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

-0.32)

34.9% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

-0.34)

71.64% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 48.5%

Deportivo La Coruna 25.97%

Draw 25.53%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Deportivo La Coruna
1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.5%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.97%