Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cordoba had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Cordoba win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.