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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 17, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar
1 - 0
Burgos

Corpas (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sancris (57'), Cordoba (59'), Miguel (90+1')
Grego (88')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Last Game: Granada 0-2 Eibar
Monday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 3-2 Cordoba
Saturday, May 10 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.

Result
EibarDrawBurgos
50.36% (-1.197 -1.2)28.05% (0.506 0.51)21.59% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 40.2% (-0.406 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.97% (-0.957 -0.96)64.04% (0.95999999999999 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.79% (-0.685 -0.69)83.21% (0.68899999999999 0.69)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.996 -1)25.83% (1 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-1.371 -1.37)60.79% (1.375 1.38)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (0.18 0.18)45.81% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.142 0.14)81.57% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 50.35%
    Burgos 21.59%
    Draw 28.05%
EibarDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 16.01% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.367 0.37)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.59%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Burgos
1-0
Eibar
Curro (67')
Morante (53'), Ojeda (61')

Alvarez (36'), Pascual (59'), Bautista (60'), Alkain (78'), Etxeberria (81')
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Eibar
0-1
Burgos

Aketxe (71'), Pereira (89')
Nolaskoain (82' og.)
Arroyo (7'), Sancris (48'), Matos (51'), Nino (89')
Sep 9, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Burgos
1-0
Eibar
Curro (65' pen.)
Atienza (27'), Matos (48')

Berrocal (55'), Zidane (61'), Gutierrez (63')
Berrocal (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Eibar
1-0
Burgos
Bautista (34')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 19
Burgos
1-2
Eibar
Campos (37')
Stoichkov (73'), Blanco (87')