Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.28%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (13.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.