Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.16%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 30.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.08%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.