Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 38.75% ( | 26.03% ( | 35.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% ( | 50.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( | 72.35% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( | 60.33% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( | 27.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( | 63.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.21% |