Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
3 - 0
Ipswich

Isak (45+4' pen.), Burn (56'), Osula (80')
Burn (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Johnson (30'), Delap (44'), Greaves (63')
Johnson (37')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 0-4 Arsenal
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Ipswich Town
76.37% ( 0.04)	13.51% ( -0.02)	10.11% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.49% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.51% (

0.03)

23.49% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.08% (

0.04)

42.91% (

-0.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.91% (

0.01)

5.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.76% (

0.03)

20.24% (

-0.03)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79% (

-0)

35.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.04% (

-0)

71.96% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 76.37%

Ipswich Town 10.11%

Draw 13.52%

Newcastle United	Draw	Ipswich Town
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.3% 5-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.51% Total : 76.37%	1-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.33% Total : 13.52%	1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 10.11%