Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 31.61% ( | 24.43% ( | 43.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( | 44.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( | 66.6% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( | 26.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( | 62.01% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( | 20.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( | 52.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 43.96% |