Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Stoke City Under-23s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-23s
48.08%	22.73%	29.19%

Both teams to score 63.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.55%

37.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.32%

59.67%

Stoke City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.06%

15.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.79%

45.21%

Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45%

59.55%

Score Analysis

Stoke City Under-23s 48.08%

Middlesbrough Under-23s 29.19%

Draw 22.72%

Stoke City Under-23s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 5.7% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.08%	1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 7.04% 0-1 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.19%