Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 55.4%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 0-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
