Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.