Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.