Boro U23s3 - 2Sunderland U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Sunderland Under-23s |
| 43.31% | 23.66% | 33.02% |
| Both teams to score 61.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% | 40.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% | 62.43% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% | 18.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% | 50.25% |
| Sunderland Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% | 23.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% | 58.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Sunderland Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.02% |


