Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
