Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-23s in this match.
