Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.
