Boro U23s4 - 2Newcastle U23s
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 1 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Birmingham City Under-23s | 26 | -17 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough Under-23s | 26 | -19 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland Under-23s | 26 | -14 | 24 |
Monday, May 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Southampton Under-23s | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-23s | 25 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion Under-23s | 26 | -10 | 35 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 44.26% | 23.1% | 32.64% |
| Both teams to score 63.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% | 37.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.29% | 59.71% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% | 17.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% | 47.82% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% | 22.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% | 56.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-2 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.64% |
Bondswell (42'), White (75')
Sykes (4'), Hannah (75')


