Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
