Newcastle U23s1 - 0Birmingham U23s
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Southampton Under-23s | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-23s | 25 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion Under-23s | 26 | -10 | 35 |
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Aston Villa Under-23s | 25 | 3 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham City Under-23s | 26 | -17 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough Under-23s | 26 | -19 | 26 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-23s | Draw | Birmingham City Under-23s |
| 42.45% | 22.75% | 34.81% |
| Both teams to score 65.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.01% | 34.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.02% | 56.98% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% | 17.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% | 47.32% |
| Birmingham City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% | 20.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% | 53.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-23s | Draw | Birmingham City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.52% 3-3 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.81% |


