Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 56.55%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 22.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 0-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Under-23s | Draw | Fulham Under-23s |
| 22.67% | 20.78% | 56.55% |
| Both teams to score 63.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.93% | 34.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.06% | 55.94% |
| Birmingham City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% | 63.39% |
| Fulham Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% | 12.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.43% | 37.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Under-23s | Draw | Fulham Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.55% Total : 22.67% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-3 @ 5.29% 2-3 @ 4.33% 1-4 @ 3.58% 0-4 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 2.29% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 0.98% 2-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.65% Total : 56.55% |


