Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
