Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 36.24% | 22.95% | 40.8% |
| Both teams to score 65.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.25% | 35.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.18% | 57.82% |
| Reading Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% | 20.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% | 18.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% | 49.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 4.87% 2-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.85% Total : 40.8% |


