Stoke U23s2 - 1Newcastle U23s
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s | 26 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City Under-23s | 26 | -2 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest Under-23s | 26 | 21 | 42 |
Monday, May 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Southampton Under-23s | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-23s | 25 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion Under-23s | 26 | -10 | 35 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 50.56% | 22.57% | 26.87% |
| Both teams to score 61.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% | 60.69% |
| Stoke City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% | 15.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.76% | 44.23% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% | 26.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% | 62.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.78% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.56% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.87% |
Okagbue (38'), Malone (59'), Griffiths (89'), Sy (90+2'), James-Taylor (90+5'), Coates (90+6')
Sy (90+2')
Macarai (25'), Adebambo (35'), Malone (82'), Varian (84')


