Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City Under-23s in this match.
