Villa U23s

3 - 4

Stoke U23s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.57%) and 0-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.