Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 41.99% | 22.39% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 67.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.28% | 54.72% |
| Stoke City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% | 16.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% | 19.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% | 50.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% 1-0 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.58% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 2.31% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-1 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 0.98% 3-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.62% |


