Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Stoke City Under-23s win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Stoke City Under-23s |
| 63.28% | 18.8% | 17.92% |
| Both teams to score 62.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.46% | 31.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.97% | 53.03% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% | 9.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Stoke City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% | 30.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% | 66.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Stoke City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 7.47% 1-0 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-2 @ 4.42% 4-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 3.71% 4-2 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 2.06% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-2 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.86% Total : 63.28% | 1-1 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 2.93% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-1 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-2 @ 2.05% 1-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.92% |


