Newcastle U23s3 - 2Stoke U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-23s | Draw | Stoke City Under-23s |
| 40.89% | 22.74% | 36.37% |
| Both teams to score 66.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.38% | 34.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.43% | 56.57% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% | 17.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% | 48.17% |
| Stoke City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% | 19.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% | 51.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-23s | Draw | Stoke City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% 1-0 @ 6% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.14% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.37% |


