Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
