Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
