Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City Under-23s would win this match.
