Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 38.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.77%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 39.11% | 22.17% | 38.71% |
| Both teams to score 68.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.98% | 53.01% |
| Southampton Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% | 17.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% | 47.18% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.52% | 47.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 4.77% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.34% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 7.11% 0-0 @ 2.93% 3-3 @ 2.46% Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.27% Total : 38.71% |


