National League | Gameweek 46

May 5, 2025 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Garner (36' pen., 86')
Rossiter (39'), Pritchard (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manktelow (16'), Olagunju (35'), Bolger (41'), Edser (64'), Chapman (67')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Oldham
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Oldham Athletic in this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Ebbsfleet
62.87% ( 1.03)	20.23% ( -0.47)	16.9% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 55.14% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.66% (

1.21)

40.34% (

-1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.28% (

1.23)

62.71% (

-1.23)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

0.67)

12.25% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.03% (

1.37)

37.97% (

-1.37)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84% (

0.09)

37.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.06% (

0.08)

73.94% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 62.86%

Ebbsfleet 16.9%

Draw 20.23%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.71% Total : 62.86%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.23%	1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.9%