National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Raglan (41'), Fondop (63')
Pett (43'), Fondop (64'), Hobson (76'), (90+5'), Garner (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dieseruvwe (39')
Ferguson (20'), Miley (51'), Cleary (69')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Hartlepool United
31.15% ( -0.23)	24.99% ( -0.18)	43.86% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 56.31% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1% (

0.7)

46.9% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

0.65)

69.15% (

-0.64)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

0.19)

28.35% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

0.25)

64.09% (

-0.24)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

0.48)

21.41% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6% (

0.74)

54.4% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 31.15%

Hartlepool United 43.86%

Draw 24.99%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.15%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.86%