Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.