Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 33.46% ( | 26.44% ( | 40.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( | 52.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( | 74.07% ( |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( | 25.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( | 60.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.1% |