Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 39.16% | 24.99% | 35.85% |
| Both teams to score 57.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% | 45.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% | 67.99% |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% | 57% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% | 24.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% | 59.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.85% |